New Research Shows Virus Spread Across US Via NYC

(Tyler Durdin

Aside from confirmation that 33 million jobs have been destroyed in the US alone since the lockdown began, there’s been relatively little news to drive the market higher on Thursday (or maybe its the ‘endtimes-style’ freak snowstorms that have popped the Nasdaq back into the green, since what is the apocalypse but the ultimate excuse for the Fed to really pull the ripcord?).

While we suspect this interpretation of the data might change by eod tomorrow, the NYT just reported that the domestic coronavirus outbreak was large enough by the end of March that the outbreaks in NYC actually helped seed the rest of the country, meaning the potentially more-deadly mutation of SARS-CoV-2 documented in NY and Europe might have actually spread across the entire US.

The virus reportedly swept across NYC in February and early March, when Mayor de Blasio was still dismissing it as a non-issue and encouraging foreigners to hop on those planes and cruise ships and giddy up on over here, partner. If de Blasio was so proactive about combating the virus, how come it was discovered on the west coast first?

New York City’s coronavirus outbreak grew so large by early March that the city became the primary source of new infections in the United States, new research reveals, as thousands of infected people traveled from the city and seeded outbreaks around the country.

The research indicates that a wave of infections swept from New York City through much of the country before the city began setting social distancing limits to stop the growth. That helped to fuel outbreaks in Louisiana, Texas, Arizona and as far away as the West Coast.

The findings are drawn from geneticists’ tracking signature mutations of the virus, travel histories of infected people and models of the outbreak by infectious disease experts.

“We now have enough data to feel pretty confident that New York was the primary gateway for the rest of the country,” said Nathan Grubaugh, an epidemiologist at the Yale School of Public Health.

Spokespeople from the mayor’s office and the White House blamed each other for failing to stop the spread from New York…though several states went ahead and took it upon themselves to block travelers from NY and the surrounding area…only for Cuomo to threaten to sue them for discrimination (remember that?).

Dani Lever, communications director for Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, criticized federal authorities, describing an “enormous failure by the federal government to leave New York and the East Coast exposed to flights from Europe, while at the same time instilling a false sense of security by telling the State of New York that we had no Covid cases throughout the entire month of February..

A White House spokesman, Judd Deere, said that Mr. Trump had acted quickly. The president blocked most visitors from Europe starting on March 13, more than a month after he restricted travel from China.

“Just as he acted early on to cut off travel from the source of the virus, President Trump was advised by his health and infectious disease experts that he should cut off travel from Europe — an action he took decisively without delay to save lives while Democrats and the media criticized him and the global health community still did not fully comprehend the level of transmission or spread,” Mr. Deere said.

By now it’s become clear that Trump’s travel bans probably still came too late (even though even the WHO didn’t recommend them at the time), it’s also the latest sign that the virus had started to spread much earlier than previously believed, which means it might have already been spreading outside Wuhan before the first cases were identified by local authorities and doctors (who were swiftly silenced) in early December.

What does that tell us about what Beijing likely knew, and when?

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